Monday, December 31, 2007

Europe sweetens Palestinian life

Explosives Labeled as Sugar in EU Aid to Palestinians

Israel seized 6.5 tons of potassium nitrate in bags marked as sugar from a Palestinian truck traveling in the West Bank with EU aid for Gaza.

Potassium nitrate can be used to make explosives and power homemade rockets.
(Reuters)

Muslim hero

Bhutto was defiant against terror -Amir Taheri

Benazir Bhutto believed that dictatorship and terror were political twins that kept each other alive. "Only the fresh air of democracy can kill the monster [of Islamism]," she liked to say.

"When the people are allowed to speak, they will not speak in support of terror."
(Times-UK)

Thursday, December 27, 2007

"Hardship" vs. "Exhilaration" Models


Turning Abbas's logic on its head -Daniel Pipes

First[ly], the many billions of dollars and record-shattering per-capita donations from the West have rendered the Palestinians poorer. Second, Palestinian impoverishment is a long-term positive development.

The hardship model, subscribed to by all Western states, attributes Palestinian actions to poverty, isolation, Israeli roadblocks, the lack of a state, etc. Eliminate those hardships and Palestinians, supposedly, would turn their attention to economic development and democracy. Trouble is, that change never comes.

The exhilaration model [suggests] the absence of despair and [the presence of] overwhelming hope, in fact, feed extremism. For Palestinians, hope derives from a perception of Israeli weakness, implying an optimism and excitement that the Jewish state can be eliminated. Conversely, when Palestinians cannot see a way forward against Israel, they devote themselves to the more mundane tasks of earning a living and educating their children.

Exhilaration, not hardship, accounts for bellicose Palestinian behavior. Accordingly, whatever reduces Palestinian confidence is a good thing. A failed economy depresses the Palestinians' mood, not to speak of their military and other capabilities, and so brings resolution closer.

Palestinians must experience the bitter crucible of defeat before they will drop their foul goal of eliminating their Israeli neighbor and begin to build their own economy, polity, society, and culture. No short-cut to this happy outcome exists. Who truly cares for Palestinians must want their despair to come quickly, so that a skilled and dignified people can move beyond its current barbarism and build something decent.
[Jerusalem Post]

Murdering moderates: Bhutto gunned down

Pakistani Opposition leader killed -AP

[T]he charismatic former prime minister [and] Pakistani opposition leader, Benazir Bhutto was assassinated Thursday, apparently after being shot and then attacked by a suicide bomber as she left a campaign rally, aides said. Twenty others also died.

Bhutto [was] seen as having a wide base of support here [Pakistan].
[Jerusalem Post]

1.5 Minute VideoBite below:




UPDATES:

'Al Qaida behind Bhutto's assassination' -AP

Al Qaida took responsibility for assassinating Pakistani former prime minister Benazir Bhutto...The Foreign Office in Islamabad said in a statement it was not certain as to the report's veracity
[Jerusalem Post]


Al-Qaeda Heads List of Suspects in Bhutto Assassination - Joby Warrick & Thomas E. Ricks

At the top of the list of suspects in the assassination of former Pakistani Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto is the al-Qaeda terrorist network and its legion of allies, including loosely affiliated groups that espouse similar views and, in some cases, share training facilities and other resources.

Retired Marine Gen. Anthony C. Zinni, former chief of Central Command, the U.S. military headquarters for the Middle East, said there is "no doubt in my mind" that the culprits are linked to al-Qaeda. Bruce Reidel, a former CIA official and onetime member of the National Security Council, said of al-Qaeda: "They had means, plenty of martyr wannabes. And they probably had inside information on her route and security."
(Washington Post)

Wednesday, December 26, 2007

Their war on women

The War on Muslim Women -Jeff Jacoby

No international furor saved Aqsa Parvez, a Toronto teenager, whose father was charged on Dec. 11 with strangling her to death because she refused to wear a hijab.

More than 25 "honor killings" have been confirmed in Britain's Muslim community in recent years. Many more are suspected.

In Basra, Iraq, more than 40 women who wear Western-style clothing have been killed so far this year by Islamists, Iraqi police say. [T]he bodies are often left in garbage dumps with notes accusing the victims of "un-Islamic behavior."

In Pakistan, a tribal council ordered a woman to be gang-raped as punishment for her brother's supposed liaison with a woman from another tribe.

In Tehran, a father beheaded his 7-year-old daughter because he suspected that she had been raped. In Saudi Arabia, the Islamic police prevented schoolgirls from leaving a burning building because they were not wearing headscarves and abayas; 15 of the girls died in the inferno.

In San Francisco, a young Muslim woman was shot dead after she uncovered her hair and put on makeup in order to be a maid of honor at a friend's wedding. These are only examples - the tip of a dreadful iceberg...
(Boston Globe)

Sunday, December 23, 2007

VideoBite: "Jingle Bombs"

Jeff Dunham helps us laugh at Jihad again, with a short video of "Achmed the dead terrorist," this time with a Christmas message.

An earlier Achmed clip can be viewed in my archives [see November 27, 2007].

CONTENT WARNING: This video clip contains suggestive language and adult themes

Friday, December 21, 2007

Palestinians retain maximalist goals

Sisyphus was a mythological king punished by being cursed to roll a huge boulder up a hill, only to watch it roll down again, throughout eternity. His name is oft invoked to refer to tasks that are pointless and unrewarding...get the conncection?

"Everyone Knows What a Peace Deal Looks Like" -Evelyn Gordon

One of the most widespread misconceptions about Israeli-Palestinian talks is that "everyone knows what a deal looks like." As the New York Times put it in an editorial last month, "The broad outlines of a deal...have been apparent since President Clinton's 2000 push."

Yet according to a summary of the Taba talks prepared by negotiator Gilad Sher after they collapsed, the Palestinians insisted that the "safe passage" connecting Gaza and the West Bank be under Palestinian sovereignty, thereby effectively severing Israel in two.

On the Temple Mount in Jerusalem, Judaism's holiest site, the Palestinians insisted that the mount be entirely theirs, with Israel having no rights whatsoever. The Palestinians also demanded recognition of the "right" of all refugees and their descendants to relocate to Israel. The Palestinians adamantly refused to recognize Israel as a Jewish nation-state.

In short, not only is there no agreement on what a deal looks like, there is no agreement even on the fundamental premise that must underlie any deal - namely, the establishment of two states for two peoples.
(Jerusalem Post)

"Two weeks to two hours"

What to Expect for $8.6B in Palestinian Aid -Greg Sheridan

So international donors have pledged $8.6 billion in aid to the Palestinian Authority. This eye-popping amount of money will continue the Palestinians' status as the highest per capita aid recipients in the world.

Remove the Israelis from the West Bank and the estimates of how long Fatah would remain in power range from two weeks to two hours.
(The Australian)

Thursday, December 20, 2007

Iran courts sleazeball Daniel Ortega

Iran Making Push into Nicaragua -Todd Bensman

[A] new partnership [is emerging] with Nicaragua's Sandinista President Daniel Ortega, Iran and its Venezuelan allies...

What worries State Department officials, former national security officials, and counterterrorism researchers is that Iran could stage strikes on American or allied interests from Nicaragua, deploying the Iranian terrorist group Hizbullah and Revolutionary Guard operatives already in Latin America.

Few Nicaragua observers believe Iran has any obvious need for trade ties with one of Latin America's poorest countries.

Front and center on many minds is Argentina's contention that Iran, using its embassy as cover, orchestrated two Hizbullah bombings of Israeli and Jewish community targets in Buenos Aires in the early 1990s.
(San Antonio Express-News)

Note:
An exceedingly well done slideshow on how jihadists are entering the US, was produced by Texas' San Antonio Express-News...click the title-link or photo to view:

Wednesday, December 19, 2007

Terror research

Fund the Palestinians? Bad Idea -Daniel Pipes

Lavishing funds on Abbas and the Palestinian Authority to achieve peace has been a mainstay of Western, including Israeli, policy. The windfall keeps growing...this open spigot has counterproductive results and must be stopped.

Well, it's a bargain if it works, right? A few billion to end a dangerous, century-old conflict - it's actually a steal. But innovative research by Steven Stotsky finds that an influx of money to the Palestinians has had the opposite effect.

Stotsky compares budgetary support aid provided annually to the Palestinian Authority and the number of Palestinian homicides annually...[g]raphed together, the two figures show an uncanny echo:

The correlation is even clearer when the aid of one year is superimposed on the homicides of a year later:


[T]he more foreign aid, the more terrorism.

Rather than deprive their Palestinian enemies of resources, Israelis have been following Shimon Peres's mystical musings to empower them economically. As I wrote in 2001, this "is tantamount to sending the enemy resources while fighting is still under way - not a hugely bright idea."

Rather than further funding Palestinian bellicosity, Western states, starting with Israel, should cut off all funds to the Palestinian Authority.
[Jerusalem Post]


UPDATES:
Pledging Billions to the PA in Paris -Yisrael Ne'eman

PA police...are expected to patrol the streets between 6AM and midnight giving a feeling of security to the population and holding down crime. This is a limited success but the big issue they are not confronting - the Hamas/Jihad underground. This job is left to the Israeli army from midnight to 6AM when the PA police are confined to their barracks. The PA police refuse to confront the Hamas/Jihad for if they did they would surely lose. More than ever the West Bank population is pro-Hamas.

The Palestinian people want the Hamas/Jihad. They voted as such in elections and the latest opinion polls prove their preferences have not changed.
[Mideast: On Target]


What About the Palestinians' Record? -Diana West

Christmas came early to the Palestinian Authority when the "international community" decided to pledge billions in aid. Why? Did the PA end its terrorist ways? Stop state-sanctioned incitement against Israel and the West? Change Fatah's charter (forget about Hamas) calling for Israel's destruction?

We avert our collective eye from the goals of jihad. Instead, we see ourselves as villains - Israel for its existence, and Israel's supporters for, well, their support for Israel's existence.
(Washington Times)

US enabling Iran's nuke dreams

Maj.-Gen. Aharon Ze'evi-Farkash

NIE Will Enable Iran to Get Nukes

Iran's covert nuclear weapons program is continuing, and the American intelligence community's misassessment of it has opened the door for Iran to achieve its nuclear ambitions, the former head of IDF Military Intelligence, Maj.-Gen. Aharon Ze'evi-Farkash, warned.

Noting that he had headed Military Intelligence at the time of the ostensible Iranian "halt" in 2003, Ze'evi-Farkash said the Iranians, recognizing that the international community had discovered their covert weapons program, set about hiding its traces, but then resumed their activities.

For instance, weapons system development at the Lavizan site, identified by Iranian opposition groups, was halted and moved elsewhere, and all traces of activity were removed.
(Jerusalem Post)

Tuesday, December 18, 2007

Birds of a feather

Video of Egypt Helping Hamas Terrorists Cross Border
-Yaakov Katz, Herb Keinon, & Hilary Leila Krieger
Israel is sending video footage - which shows Egyptian security forces assisting Hamas terrorists cross illegally into Gaza - to the U.S. Congress to pressure Egypt to clamp down on Hamas smuggling activities.

The House and Senate agreed Sunday to hold back $100 million in military aid for Egypt...
(Jerusalem Post)

Here's the gun...shoot me

Funeral of Ido Zoldan

Terrorists Killed Israeli with Kosher Weapons -Herb Keinon

The terrorists who killed Ido Zoldan near Kedumim in the West Bank last month used weapons the PA received from Jordan with Israel's approval, a government official said. The three members of the terrorist cell were members of the PA security forces.
(Jerusalem Post)

Hamas emerging

200,000 Gazans Rally in Support of Hamas -Steven Erlanger & Taghreed El-Khodary

About 200,000 Gazans rallied in support of Hamas on the 20th anniversary of its founding, in a significant show of force.

Central Gaza City was filled with green flags, and a large banner reading "We will not recognize Israel" adorned the back of the stage.
(New York Times)


Hamas Vows Never to Recognize Israel -Avi Issacharoff

Hamas prime minister Ismail Haniyeh said that whoever declares he will never recognize Israel earns "the people's love." In a fiery speech, Haniyeh cited the achievements of Hamas and "the resistance" throughout the region.

Hamas parliament member Mushir al-Masri warned against a possible Israeli incursion into Gaza, saying that Hamas "has already begun to dig graves for the Jews."
(Ha'aretz)

Sunday, December 16, 2007

"Five times the size of Israel"


A stunning photo of Yemenite Jews; click photo to enlarge


Expelled Jews hold deeds on Arab lands -Etgar Lefkovits

The government needs to bring up the issue of hundreds of thousands of Jews who left their homes in Arab countries following the establishment of the State of Israel as part of any future peace agreement with the Palestinians, the president of the World Organization of Jews from Arab Countries said.

About 850,000 Jews fled Arab countries after Israel's founding in 1948, leaving behind assets valued today at more than $300 billion, said Heskel M. Haddad. He added that the New York-based organization has decades-old property deeds of Jews from Arab countries on a total area of 100,000 sq.km. - which is five times the size of the State of Israel.

Most of the properties are located in Iraq, Egypt and Morocco, Haddad said.
[Jerusalem Post]
[Photo credit: MentalBlog]

Sending your kid to Saudi University?

Saudis Give Big to U.S. Colleges -Julia Duin

Some say the sheer size of Saudi donations to Middle East studies departments amounts to buying influence and creating bastions of noncritical pro-Islamic scholarship within academia.

"[T]hese campuses aren't getting gifts, they're getting investments," said Clifford May, president of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies.

[A]t least 10 chaired professorships [are] currently funded by [the] Saudis at major universities. "With all the talk of the Israel lobby, no one talks about the Saudi lobby," said Winfield Myers, director of Campus Watch. "There is no counterweight to Saudi influence in American higher education."
(Washington Times)

Friday, December 14, 2007

Shifting sands

American Jews Believe Arabs Seek Destruction of Israel

According to the 2007 Annual Survey of American Jewish Opinion, 82% agree that "The goal of the Arabs is not the return of occupied territories but rather the destruction of Israel"...

37% can envision Israel and its Arab neighbors settling their differences and living in peace, while 55% disagree. 36% said Israel should be willing to compromise on the status of Jerusalem in the framework of a permanent peace with the Palestinians, while 58% disagree.

The survey, sponsored by the American Jewish Committee, polled 1,000 self-identifying Jewish respondents on Nov. 6-25.
(American Jewish Committee)

Another "hellish nightmare of violence"?


Rushing to Hand the Palestinians a Country
-Mark Davis

There is no problem with a quest for peace between Israel and the Palestinians. The problem is rushing to hand the Palestinians a country before they seem remotely able to function as a sufficiently peaceful people.

Look at Gaza. Israel, America and the world were told that if Israel would just withdraw from Gaza, the Palestinians left behind would show their aptitude for self-rule. That they did, as Gaza became a hellish nightmare of violence.

Mr. Abbas can talk all day about his desire to peacefully coexist with Israel - I may be on the verge of believing him - but until there is an appreciable number of Palestinians similarly inclined to such civility, the two-state solution is worse than no solution. It is a delusion that only serves to reward horrific behavior.

In Jerusalem a few summers ago, I met many Palestinians eager to coexist peacefully with Israel. There simply are not enough of them.
(Dallas News)

Thursday, December 13, 2007

Swallowing the Palestinian narrative

Condi: No Jews Allowed -Michael Freund

Condoleezza Rice has got some nerve. [T]he Secretary of State had the hutzpa to compare Israel's treatment of Palestinians to that meted out to US blacks during the bad old days of the segregationist South.

[T]he fact that American blacks were victims of violence and hate, while Palestinians are its proficient practitioners, seems to have escaped the secretary of state's attention. [W]ould Hamas terrorist-in-chief Ismail Haniyeh qualify as a Palestinian Rosa Parks?
[Jerusalem Post]

Wednesday, December 12, 2007

Pipes blasts "small-minded bureaucrats"

Their own worst nightmare -Daniel Pipes

With the publication of [the] National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) a consensus has emerged that war with Iran "now appears to be off the agenda." Indeed, Iran's president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, claimed the report dealt a "fatal blow" to the country's enemies, while his foreign ministry spokesman called it a "great victory."

I disagree with that consensus, believing that military action against Iran is now more likely than before the NIE came out.

[T]here are three possible American responses to the Iranian nuclear buildup: Convince the Iranians of their own accord to stop the nuclear weapons program. Stop it for them through military intervention (which need not be a direct strike against the nuclear infrastructure but could be more indirect, such as an embargo on refined petrochemicals entering the country). Permit it to culminate in Iran's acquiring a nuclear bomb.

In short, with Option #1 undermined and Option #3 unacceptable, Option #2 - war carried out by either US or Israeli forces - becomes more probable.

Thus have short-sighted, small-minded, blatantly partisan intelligence bureaucrats, trying to hide unpleasant realities, helped engineer their own nightmare.
[Jerusalem Post]

Tuesday, December 11, 2007

Lattes and Lies

Bethlehem and Bigotry -Michael Gove

Eggnog lattes on sale at Starbucks? There's one invariable sign that Christmas is almost upon us - a story about how Bethlehem is suffering at the hands of wicked Israel. It has become a feature of seasonal journalism...

The message: oppressive Israel has snuffed the life out of the town where the Prince of Peace was born.

The truth is very different. The parlous position of Palestinian Christians, indeed the difficult position of most Christians across the Arab world, is a consequence not of Israeli aggression but of growing Islamist influence. Israel goes out of its way to honor sites and traditions sacred to other faiths, while the radicals who are driving Palestinian politics seek to create an Islamist state in which other faiths, if they survive at all, do so with the explicit subject status of dhimmis.
(Times-UK)

Bruce's Note:
For an interesting display of anti-Israel Christmas coverage, see National Geographic Magazine's "Bethlehem 2007 A.D." Their
video and photo gallery are stunning examples of how some media paint Israel's attempts to defend herself in a contextless haze. Absent from National Geo's narrative is mention of Bethlehem's Rachel's Tomb. CAMERA has a thorough critique of the National Geo piece.

Monday, December 10, 2007

Paving Satan's Highway

Iran Building Road for Hizbullah in Lebanon -Tim Butcher

Under the cover of an aid project, Iran is building a large mountain road in southern Lebanon believed to be a supply route for Hizbullah.

During the 2006 war, the lack of good supply lines meant that Hizbullah struggled to move men and arms down from the Bekaa Valley. But in the event of another war, there will now be a clear route - presently lined with banners announcing that it has been paid for by the "Iranian Contributory Organization for Reconstructing Lebanon."
(Telegraph-UK)

Sunday, December 09, 2007

Friday, December 07, 2007

Halevi: "Insult, betrayal"


An Insult to Intelligence: Israel Responds to the NIE
-Yossi Klein Halevi

The sense of betrayal within the Israeli security system is deep. After convincing the international community that the nuclear threat was real, now that has been undone by Israel's closest ally.

What makes Israeli security officials especially furious is that the report casts doubt on Iranian determination to attain nuclear weapons. Is it, asks one Israeli analyst, [logical] for one of the world's largest oil exporters to risk international sanctions and economic ruin for the sake of a peaceful nuclear program?

"The Syrians were working on their nuclear project for seven years, and we discovered it only recently," says one security analyst. "The Americans didn't know about it at all. So how can they be so sure about Iran?"
(New Republic)

US-Israel relations in "a State of Crisis"

The abandonment of the Jews -Caroline Glick

There are two possible explanations for why President George W. Bush permitted this strange report to be published. Either he doesn't wish to attack Iran, or he was compelled by the intelligence bureaucracy to accept that he can't attack Iran.

But it really doesn't make a difference. [T]he president is boxed in just the same. The NIE denies him the option of taking military action against Iran's nuclear program for the duration of his tenure in office.

French President Nicholas Sarkozy stands humiliated for having dared to speak of the possibility of attacking Iran. The Germans will immediately reinvigorate their commercial ties with the mullahs as will the British and the French. The Russians and Chinese will drop even the veneer of opposing Iran's nuclear program.

[T]he NIE sets a dangerous trap for Israel. If Israel doesn't take action against Iran's nuclear installations it risks annihilation. And if it does take action, it can expect to be subject to international and American condemnation far worse than what it suffered after bombing Iraq's Osirak nuclear reactor in 1981.

Israel's relations with the US are in a state of crisis. [T]he US double-crossed Israel. By placing the bait of a hypothetical coalition against Iran, the US extracted massive Israeli concessions [at Annapolis] and then turned around and abandoned Israel on Iran as well. What this means is that not only has the US cut Israel off as an ally, it is actively working against the Jewish state.

With the stroke of a pen the US this week has let it be known that it doesn't have a problem with Iran acquiring the means to carry out the second genocide of the Jewish people in 70 years.

The NIE's message to Israel and world Jewry is clear. Again we are alone in our moment of peril. It is high time that our political and military leaders acknowledge this fact, stop hoping that someone else will save us, and get to work on defending us.
[Jerusalem Post]

Thursday, December 06, 2007

Bolton on Iran report

The Flaws in the Iran Report -John R. Bolton

The headline finding - that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003 - is written in a way that guarantees the conclusions will be misread.

In fact, there is little substantive difference between the conclusions of the 2005 NIE on Iran's nuclear capabilities and the 2007 NIE. Moreover, the distinction between "military" and "civilian" programs is highly artificial, since the enrichment of uranium, which all agree Iran is continuing, is critical to civilian and military uses. Indeed, it has always been Iran's "civilian" program that posed the main risk of a nuclear "breakout."

The real differences between the NIEs are not in the hard data but in the psychological assessment of the mullahs' motives and objectives. The 2007 NIE is internally contradictory and insufficiently supported. It implies that Iran is susceptible to diplomatic persuasion and pressure, yet the only event in 2003 that might have affected Iran was our invasion of Iraq and the overthrow of Saddam Hussein. As undersecretary of state for arms control in 2003, I know we were nowhere near exerting any significant diplomatic pressure on Iran.
(Washington Post)

US Hate Crime Statistics 2006



Wednesday, December 05, 2007

Reflections on Iran intelligence report


Why Does U.S. and Israeli Intelligence Differ? -Yaakov Katz

Israel's Mossad claims that the Iranians will be able to develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2009; IDF Military Intelligence warns that Teheran will cross the technological threshold within six months; and now the Americans are putting the timeline toward the middle of the next decade, or 2013 at the earliest. Defense officials in Tel Aviv admitted that the report would probably embolden Iran.

The Americans are still traumatized by the blatant intelligence failure vis-a-vis Iraq's alleged WMD and do not want to be caught crying wolf again. Israel takes the more stringent track.
(Jerusalem Post)


Ahmadinejad: U.S. Nuclear Assessment Is Victory for Iran

Iranian President Ahmadinejad says the new U.S. intelligence report on Tehran's nuclear program is "a victory" for the Iranian nation against world powers.
(VOA News)


Relax? Don't. -Bronwen Maddox

The newly published U.S. intelligence report argues that Iran has been deterred from pursuing them mainly by the fear of U.S. military action, a fear that has now faded.

The report makes clear the seriousness of the threat, not the opposite.
(Times-UK)


Was Bush Behind the Iran Report? -Robert Baer

Bombing Iran, it seems, is now off the table.

[T]here is no doubt that the Bush White House was behind this [report and] that an explosive 180-degree turn on Iran like this one was greenlighted by the president. The real story behind this [report] is that the Bush Administration has finally concluded Iran is a bridge too far.

Iran is a black hole, and it's entirely conceivable Iran could build a bomb and we wouldn't know until they tested it.
The writer is a former CIA field officer assigned to the Middle East.
(TIME)


The Gulf States and Iran -Max Boot

Iran is building up its military arsenal, and has threatened to shut down the Persian Gulf. What particularly concerns Gulf Arabs is the possibility that Iran could go nuclear - a concern unlikely to be erased by the ambiguous findings of the new National Intelligence Estimate.
(Wall Street Journal)


Alone on the Battlefield -Alex Fishman

The information available to Israeli and Western intelligence services shows that Iran, due to diplomatic pressures, indeed froze the process in 2003, but the same information shows that the efforts were renewed two years later and are continuing to this day.

Behind closed doors, Israeli defense officials are convinced that U.S. intelligence bodies are simply getting it wrong...now [Israel] may have to do this a bit more alone.
(Ynet News)

Tuesday, December 04, 2007

Intelligence dispute

Just a tame little cat?


Israel: Iran Likely Restarted Nuclear Arms Program

Israeli intelligence believes Iran is still trying to develop a nuclear weapon, Israel's defense minister said, disputing a U.S. intelligence assessment that Iran has halted its program.

"It's apparently true that in 2003 Iran stopped pursuing its military nuclear program for a time. But in our opinion, since then it has apparently continued that program," Defense Minister Ehud Barak told Army Radio. Barak said, "We cannot allow ourselves to rest just because of an intelligence report from the other side of the earth, even if it is from our greatest friend."
(AP/International Herald Tribune)


US: Iran froze nuclear weapons program -Herb Keinon

A new US intelligence report that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003, but continues to enrich uranium for civilian purposes, has not lessened Israeli concerns, since enriched uranium can be used both for civilian and military purposes, Israeli government officials said.

Th[e] finding...suggests that Iran is susceptible to diplomatic pressure...

Iran did have a military nuclear program at a time when the country had a more moderate president than its current leader, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, even though they vociferously denied a nuclear weapons program at the time.

"This just shows they were lying all along," the [Israeli government] official said. [Jerusalem Post]


Iran Laughing at U.S. Lack of Nuclear Intelligence -Amir Oren

A hearty Persian laugh was heard in Tehran after looking at U.S. intelligence's website of "Iran: Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities." The document enables the ayatollahs to conclude that the Americans have no understanding of what is really happening in Iran's nuclear program.

[E]ven U.S. intelligence officers agree that Iran can buy nukes off the shelf - from Syria, North Korea and maybe Pakistan.
(Ha'aretz)

Sunday, December 02, 2007

Quote of the year

Ya'alon Warns Against East Jerusalem Pullout

An Israeli withdrawal from Arab neighborhoods of Jerusalem as part of a peace treaty with the Palestinians would put the whole city within range of Palestinian rocket fire, former chief of staff Lt.-Gen. (Res.) Moshe Ya'alon said.

"One must be blind not to see that dividing the capital will bring the neighborhoods of Jerusalem, government ministries and schools into the range of Kassam rockets," Ya'alon said at a Jerusalem rally against the division of Jerusalem organized by the One Jerusalem organization.

"Whoever runs away from terrorism will find himself chased by terrorism," he said. "We cannot let blind politicians divide Jerusalem."
(Jerusalem Post)

An alternative view of Annapolis

Peace Through Anxiety -Michael B. Oren

[I]n spite of its glaring handicaps, Annapolis must be deemed a triumph — not of peacemaking, but of girding the region for conflict.

[P]articipants in the conference were above all motivated by their fear of a radical and relentlessly aggressive Iran. This fear has deepened with the success of the Iranian proxies Hezbollah and Hamas in Lebanon and Gaza, as well as the expansion of Iranian influence westward into the Iraqi vacuum. That, and not American fiat, brought 49 states and organizations to Annapolis...

[T]he Iranians reacted ferociously to Annapolis. Ahmadinejad pronounced it a “failure” and the government-controlled press promised to “bring down Islamic wrath” on its participants. But such rage merely betrays the anxiety induced by Annapolis in Tehran. For the first time a coalition of Western and modern Arab leaders has coalesced and declared its commitment to resist “extremism” in the Middle East — a well-known euphemism for Iran.
[New York Times]

Friday, November 30, 2007

SANTA: no show in Annapolis

In the Middle East, You Can't Buy Peace -Ralph Peters

It's the American way: a can-do spirit, the conviction that no problem's too tough for us. But, in the real world some foreign problems can't be resolved.

Whether the American administration is Republican or Democrat, it pressures Israel for concessions - since the Arabs won't make any.

Yes, there's merit just in bringing folks together and keeping them talking. But the baseline difficulty is that we want to solve problems for people who don't really want those problems solved.

If you want a sober perspective on the Annapolis dog-and-pony show, just ask yourself this: Who will leave disappointed, if nothing much results?

The Arabs won't care. They came because we got on our knees and begged.

The Israelis will just be relieved that their latest trip to the geostrategic dentist is over.

Any Russians soiling the furniture at the Naval Academy will be delighted if another American effort flops.

And the Europeans just popped in to check the "we care" box.

The only unhappy campers will be us. We set ourselves up. Again.


Oh, and even if there's some sort of agreement, only the Israelis will honor it.

We're dealing with people who are fighting for their lives and homes.

By electing ourselves as the Middle East's indispensable problem-solvers, we've just put ourselves on the blame line for other people's problems.

Santa won't show up at Annapolis. If he did, the best gift he could bring the Bush administration and its Democratic rivals would be a sense of reality: It's a lot easier to believe in Santa than in Arabs accepting a just peace with Israel.
(New York Post)

Back door woman


Not peace -Caroline Glick

[I]n accordance with Saudi demands, the Americans prohibited Israeli representatives from entering the hall through the same door as the Arabs.

At the meeting of foreign ministers, Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni called her Arab counterparts to task for their discriminatory treatment. "Why doesn't anyone want to shake my hand? Why doesn't anyone want to be seen speaking to me?" she asked pointedly.

Israel's humiliated foreign minister did not receive support from her American counterpart. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, who spent her childhood years in the segregated American South, sided with the Arabs. As she put it, "I know what it is like to hear that you cannot go on a road or through a checkpoint because you are a Palestinian. I understand the feeling of humiliation and powerlessness."

[F]or the Secretary of State there is no difference between Israelis trying to defend themselves from a jihadist Palestinian society which supports the destruction of the Jewish state and bigoted white Southerners who oppressed African Americans because of the color of their skin.

[A]s far as Rice is concerned, the Palestinians are the innocent victims. They are the ones who are discriminated against and humiliated, not Livni, who was forced - by Rice - to enter the conference through the service entrance.
[Jerusalem Post]

Thursday, November 29, 2007

Arab Rejectionism from Palestinian moderates

Salam Fayad, PA prime minister and Rice

Accept Israel as the Jewish State? -Daniel Pipes

Surprisingly, something useful has emerged from the misconceived Annapolis meeting. Breaking with his predecessors, Olmert has boldly demanded that his Palestinian bargaining partners accept Israel's permanent existence as a Jewish state, thereby evoking a revealing response.

The Palestinian leadership responded quickly and unequivocally to Olmert's demand:

Salam Fayad, Palestinian Authority "prime minister": "Israel can define itself as it likes, but the Palestinians will not recognize it as a Jewish state."
Yasser Abed Rabbo, secretary general of the Palestinian Liberation Organization's executive committee: "This issue is not on the table..."
Ahmad Qurei, chief Palestinian negotiator: "This [demand] is absolutely refused."
Saeb Erekat, head of the PLO Negotiations Department: "The Palestinians will never acknowledge Israel's Jewish identity."

Arab recognition of Israel's Jewish nature must have top diplomatic priority.
[Jerusalem Post]

France explodes again: will it spread?

Suburban Paris explodes...again

Three Nights of Rioting in French Immigrant Suburbs -Elaine Sciolino

While the scale of the unrest of the past few days among the offspring of Arab immigrants in France, does not yet compare with the three-week convulsion in hundreds of suburbs and towns in 2005, a chilling new factor makes it more menacing.

The one-time rock throwers and car burners have taken up hunting shotguns and turned them on the police. More than 100 officers have been wounded, several seriously. Thirty were hit with buckshot and pellets from shotguns, said Patrice Ribeiro, a police spokesman.
(New York Times)

Wednesday, November 28, 2007

The Fantasy

Bush at Annapolis

President Bush said Tuesday at Annapolis: "We meet to lay the foundation for the establishment of a new nation - a democratic Palestinian state that will live side by side with Israel in peace and security."

"The emergence of responsible Palestinian leaders has given Israeli leaders the confidence they need to reach out to the Palestinians in true partnership."
(White House)


Gathering Israelis and Arabs: the Real Feat -Michael Abramowitz

Some experts suggested that getting 16 senior Arab officials into the same room as the Israeli leader might have been the signal achievement of Tuesday's peace conference.
(Washington Post)

The Reality

Violence Is a Way of Life -Paul Martin

"We have orders not to fire any rockets on Tuesday because of the Annapolis summit, but we can resume normal activities after the summit ends," Haroon explained, claiming he is totally loyal to the political leadership of Fatah.
(Washington Times)


Israeli Troops Essential in West Bank -Barbara Opall-Rome

"There's no way to control terror without a persistent physical presence," said Maj.-Gen. Yair Naveh, the recently retired head of Israel's Central Command with responsibility for the West Bank and Jerusalem.

"I don't want to control the population, but I do want to control terror. And that requires presence in the sector at all times," Naveh said.
(Defense News)


The Challenge of Annapolis -David Horovitz

Palestinians discern a pattern of unilateral concession from Israel and see no incentive or imperative to compromise at all.

Israel has left Gaza. It is talking about leaving all of the West Bank, albeit with settlement bloc adjustments. It is talking about unprecedented concessions in east Jerusalem. It is finding no answer to rocket attacks from Gaza and proved vulnerable to attack from south Lebanon.

So why hurry, they ask, to compromise on the refugee issue and other maximalist demands?
(Jerusalem Post)

UPDATES:


After Annapolis: PA TV Shows "Palestine" Map Erasing Israel -Itamar Marcus & Barbara Crook
An information clip broadcast after the Annapolis meeting on Abbas-controlled Palestinian television shows a map in which Israel is painted in the colors of the Palestinian flag, symbolizing Israel turned into a Palestinian state. The description of all of the State of Israel as "Palestine" is part of a formal, systematic educational approach throughout the Palestinian Authority.
(Palestinian Media Watch)


Arab Representatives in U.S. Shun Israeli Foreign Minister -Herb Keinon Foreign Minister Tzipi
Livni failed in attempts to set up meetings in Annapolis or Washington with colleagues from the Arab world, even though the summit was designed to show international support for Israeli-Palestinian negotiations. Israeli officials interpreted this as evidence that the Arab world had not changed its fundamental policy that there would be no warming of relations with Israel... (Jerusalem Post)

Tuesday, November 27, 2007

Jihad can be funny

Enjoy this short, 3 minute clip of Jeff Dunham and the suicide bomber skeleton.
Warning: some foul language and inuendo
Bruce

Center Stage: Circus or Summit?



There is no Israeli flag flying from any of the flagpoles outside the Washington hotel where Prime Minister Ehud Olmert and the Israeli delegation are staying for this week's Annapolis summit. Security concerns, presumably.

A short drive away, at the Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas's hotel, by contrast, the Palestinian flag waves high and proud. And, inside, members of the Palestinian delegation are only too happy to publicize their presence and spread their message.

Whatever comes out of Tuesday's conference, the Palestinians have reasons to be cheerful. Abbas's authority is being publicly bolstered by a grand show of support from across the Arab world and beyond.
[Jerusalem Post]
When House Speaker Nancy Pelosi paid Syrian strongman Bashar Assad a [visit] back in April, President Bush denounced her for sending "mixed signals" that "lead the Assad government to believe they are part of the mainstream of the international community, when in fact they are a state sponsor of terror."

On Tuesday, said sponsor of terror will take its place at the table Rice has set for the Middle Eastern conference in Annapolis.

(Wall Street Journal)

Monday, November 26, 2007

Shedding light on Annapolis

Bush to Stay on Sidelines of Mideast Talks -Paul Richter

Bush's positions suggest there may be a gap between his views and those of Rice...
(Los Angeles Times)


A Diplomatic Show of Force -Ron Ben-Yishai

The major objective of the U.S. is to produce a diplomatic show of force in Annapolis that would make it clear how robust Washington's status is in the Mideast region and in global politics.

America currently needs a show of force that will reunite the pro-Western camp around it and encourage its allies to continue the struggle against radical Islam's belligerent intention to take over the region.
(Ynet News)


Is the Conflict about the Size of Israel, or About Its Existence?
-Bernard Lewis

Paradoxically, if a Palestinian fled to Britain or America, he was eligible for naturalization after five years, and his locally-born children were citizens by birth. If he went to Syria, Lebanon or Iraq, he and his descendants remained stateless, now entering the fourth or fifth generation.

The reason for this has been stated by various Arab spokesmen. It is the need to preserve the Palestinians as a separate entity until the time when they will return and reclaim the whole of Palestine; that is to say, all of the West Bank, the Gaza Strip and Israel. The demand for the "return" of the refugees, in other words, means the destruction of Israel. This is highly unlikely to be approved by any Israeli government.

Which brings us back to the Annapolis summit. If the issue is not the size of Israel, but its existence, negotiations are foredoomed. And in light of the past record, it is clear that is and will remain the issue, until the Arab leadership either achieves or renounces its purpose - to destroy Israel. Both seem equally unlikely for the time being.
(Wall Street Journal, 26Nov07)

Seeding jihad


Scott Atran, PhD

Where Boys Grow Up to Be Jihadis -Andrea Elliott

Increasingly, terrorism analysts have focused on the importance of social milieu. [T]errorists are not loners, overcome by a militant cause. They radicalize together with others who share the same passions.

Terrorists don't simply die for a cause, Scott Atran, an anthropologist who studies terrorism, told me. "They die for each other."
(New York Times Magazine)

Friday, November 23, 2007

The tame ones are freed

List of Palestinians Slated for Release

The government of Israel has confirmed the release of 431 Palestinian prisoners as a goodwill gesture before the Annapolis conference.

They had been jailed for offenses including: shooting at people, throwing Molotov cocktails, manufacture of explosive material, placement of an explosive device with intent to cause death, and throwing pipe bombs.
(Israel Prison Service/IMRA)

Saddam's Chess Game?



Former federal prosecutor and the head of the non-governmental International Intelligence Summit, John Loftus, has released a report on Iraq's weapons of mass destruction program, based on a private study of captured Iraqi documents.

As Loftus summarized, "Roughly one-quarter of Saddam's WMD was destroyed under UN pressure during the early to mid-1990s. Saddam sold approximately another quarter of his weapons stockpile to his Arab neighbors during the mid-to-late-1990s. The Russians insisted on removing another quarter in the last few months before the war."

"The last remaining WMD, the contents of Saddam's nuclear weapons labs, were still inside Iraq on the day when the coalition forces arrived in 2003. His nuclear weapons equipment was hidden in enormous underwater warehouses beneath the Euphrates River. Saddam's entire nuclear inventory was later stolen from these warehouses."

Loftus then cites Israeli sources who claim that the Iraqi nuclear program was transferred to Syria. Israel reportedly destroyed a Syrian nuclear installation.
(Jerusalem Post)

Give 'em bullets to shoot you with




Prime Minister Olmert has approved the supply of 25 armored vehicles to the Palestinian security services in the West Bank as a goodwill gesture to Mahmoud Abbas ahead of the Annapolis peace conference. The Palestinians will also receive from Israel two million bullets supplied by Jordan.

The Prime Minister's Office denied previous reports that Israel would supply 50 armored vehicles and 1,000 rifles to the Palestinians.
(Ynet News)

"Yet another finger of the Islamic Revolution"


The Annapolis Fiasco -Brett Stevens

"Annapolis" was conceived earlier this year by the Bush administration as a landmark conference... [T]he operative theory is that Israel's neighbors, fearful of Iran's growing regional clout, have a newfound interest in putting the Israeli-Palestinian conflict to rest.

On the contrary, [Israelis believe] that such a [Palestinian] state would become yet another finger of the Islamic Revolution...
(Wall Street Journal)


Unpopular Child -Hillel Halkin

The Annapolis conference represents the kind of mistaken thinking that has characterized every American or international attempt to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict since the 1991 Madrid Conference: Namely, the belief that there is something in the world of diplomacy called "process" that has an intrinsically positive momentum of its own capable of overcoming deep disagreements on substance between two sides to a dispute.

This is nonsense. There is nothing intrinsically positive about any diplomatic process. Such processes work when potential points of agreement already exist and can be focused on. When they don't exist, all the processes in the world can't conjure them up.
(New York Sun)

Thursday, November 22, 2007

Happy Thanksgiving

Happy Thanksgiving wishes to friends in the USA

Who's teaching at our universities?

Hamas Supporter Gets 11 Years -Mike Robinson

Abdelhaleem Ashqar, 49, Associate Professor of Business at Washington's Howard University, accused of taking part in a Palestinian terrorist network, was sentenced to 11 years in prison...
(AP)

VideoBite: Rare Israeli Military Footage


Video: IDF Hits Palestinian Rocket Cell in Gaza
-Hanan Greenberg

The IDF Tuesday released a video of a Palestinian terror cell in Gaza preparing to launch Kassam rockets towards Israel last week. After army intelligence makes a positive identification and confirms the men are not civilians, the IDF attacks the cell, killing all four cell members and destroying the rocket launchers.
(Ynet News)